![]() ![]() Inflation, high mortgage rates and record-high home prices are making it harder and harder to afford a home, and that’s not likely to change soon. See: Recession Tracker: Are We In A Recession? Will Home Prices Continue to Rise? Housing-market experts are increasingly likely to see a recession in the future: economists at Fannie Mae call a 2023 downturn “likely” while the MBA team calls the odds of a recession roughly even. The stock market has been battered, yet consumer sentiment remains high. But jobs remain plentiful and few people are being laid off. Inflation is hot and economic growth, as measured by the GDP reading, is tepid. Realtors across the country confirm what the macroeconomic data says: the housing market is in a transition, driven by an uncertain economy and consumer backdrop. See: Mortgage Rates Forecast for 2022 Housing Market in Transition Mortgage experts are split on whether rates will stay the same or even decline from here-as the MBA economics team expects-or soar higher, as ’s Ratiu says is more likely. ![]() “In contrast, at a 7% mortgage rate, the same household can only buy a $341,700 home.” “A household earning the median annual income of $71,000 and using a 20% down payment could afford a home priced at $448,700 in January 2022 when rates were 3.1%,” says ’s manager of economic research, George Ratiu. This disconnect is just one factor keeping a lid on sales activity. Now, Tayenaka says, buyers feel the repairs they want are “warranted because of the market.” Sellers have had the upper hand for the past two years, and buyers have had to accept anything thrown their way. What’s more, buyers are starting to balk at the condition of the homes they’re finding in their price range. “The popular thought is ‘try it for a few weeks.’ I warn about this potentially leaving the home on the market for a more extended period,” says Tayenaka. Tayenaka and her agents counsel sellers to look at recently sold properties and list theirs for a bit less, but sellers want to go even higher. In Orange County, California, Rita Tayenaka, who owns Coast to Canyon brokerage, says buyers and sellers couldn’t be farther apart-and it’s not clear how the standoff will end. Housing Market Predictions for October 2022īuyers, sellers and real estate professionals around the country are trying to adapt to a housing market that’s vastly different from just a few months ago. ![]()
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